Ness Notes (CFB Week 7)

Will Week 7 of CFB be a "lucky-seven" for CFB'sequalizer, as the Owls are a much more respectable
2nd-ranked team in the AP? So far, being ranked No.7-10-1 ATS during their 18-game losing streak. Temple
2 in the writers' poll has been has not a good position.is a 45-point dog on Thursday night and since this
In Week 1, No.2 Notre Dame barely escaped in Atlantagame is being played at a neutral site (home of the
against Ga Tech, 14-10. The poor showing saw theCarolina Panthers), the Owls won't be able to extend
Irish fall to No. 4 in the next week's poll. The nation'stheir 18-game road losing streak (also the longest
new No. 2 was Texas, which promptly lost at home toactive among Division I-A schools), only their 18-game
No. 1 Ohio State, ending the defending champs'overall losing streak.
21-game winning streak.Behind Temple in the losing department is Colorado
Note Dame was back at No.2 the following week andwith 10 straight losses (2-7 ATS) and Stanford (eight
of course got crushed by Michigan in South Bend,straight losses with an ATS mark of 2-6). Colorado is
47-21. Auburn took over the No. 2 spot in Week 4 andhome to Texas Tech on Saturday (Red Raiders are
beat Buffalo (38-7) and South Carolina (just 24-17) infavored by seven points) and Stanford is home to
successive weeks but last Saturday became the firstArizona (Wildcats are favored by 3 1/2-points). Trailing
top-10 team to lose to an unranked opponent in 2006,Temple for the most road losses are San Jose State
when the Tigers lost to Arkansas, 27-10. Florida is the(14), Duke (14) and UNLV (12). However, all three of the
AP's latest No. 2 and as luck would have it in thisschools play at home this weekend.
"never get a breather" conference, the Gators mustNo. 1 Ohio State owns the nation's longest active
travel to Auburn Saturday night to face the Tigerswinning streak at 13 wins in a row (12-1 ATS, as last
(now ranked just 11).week's non-cover ended that streak!) and West Va is
The Florida/Auburn game (Gators are currentlyright behind the Buckeyes with 12 consecutive wins
favored by two pointa) happens to be the lone game(10-1 ATS). Ohio State is at Michigan State (Buckeyes
among AP top-25 opponents on this weekend'sare favored by 14 points) and West Va hosts
schedule. The big news that's coming this weekend willSyracuse (Mountaineers are favored by 25 points).
be of course, the release of the season's first BCSUSC has looked shaky the last two weeks, edging
standings (Sunday). The AP is no longer a componentWashington State in Pullman (28-22) on 9/30 and
of those standings, so the Gators may not findbeating Washington in the Coliseum last Saturday,
themselves No. 2 (behind Ohio State) come Sunday,26-20
even if they win at Auburn. Then again?However, those two unimpressive wins continued two
The Pac-10 is actually the No. 1 conference in three ofvery impressive winning streaks for the Trojans. The
the six computer rankings (go figure that out!), meaningwin on September 30 at Pullman gave USC its 18th
that USC (No. 2 in both the coaches' and Harris polls),straight road win (just 10-8 ATS) and last Saturday's
could very well be No.2 if the Trojans beat Arizonawin gave them a 29-game home winning streak (20-9
State (if they don't, they should be barred from ANYATS). Both streaks are the longest active among
bowl appearance this year!). It should be noted that lastDivision I-A teams. As mentioned earlier, USC hosts
year was the first time since the beginning of the BCSArizona State on Saturday and is favored by 19 points.
(1998) that the two schools ranked No. 1 and No. 2 inFYI...ASU (under Dirk Koetter) is 0-11 against Pac-10
the initial BCS standings (in LY's case it was USC andteams in games played in California.
Texas), actually wound up playing in the national titleLouisville has won 14 straight at home (13-1 ATS) to
game, so maybe it's not a big deal which school is No.rank second to USC and will host Cincinnati on
2 come Sunday.Saturday (Cards are favored by 25 points ). Florida
The school that can't wait for the first BCS standingshas the third-longest home winning streak (13) but are
to come out is Boise State (you think Dan Hawkinsplaying at Auburn but Penn State will put its 11-game
misses that blue turf?). The Broncos are No. 19 in thehome winning streak (8-2 ATS) on the line when it
coaches' poll and No. 21 in the Harris poll but arehosts No. 4 Michigan Saturday night. The Wolverines
averaging a No. 10 ranking in the computers. Under(minus Mario Manningham) are favored by 5 1/2-points.
new rules this year, a school from a non-BCSWith Ohio State's non-cover last week, none of the
conference need only finish among the top-12nation's remaining nine unbeatens are without at least
(previously it was the top-six) to qualify for a BCSone pointspread loss. However, four schools are still
bowl bid. The Broncos just may be a top-10 teamunbeaten ATS. Central Michigan at 3-3 SU, is either
come Sunday. West Virginia is a team that may be6-0 or 5-0-1 ATS, East Carolina at 2-3 SU is 5-0 ATS,
dreading Sunday's first rankings. The Mountaineers areWisconsin at 5-1 SU is (4-0-1 ATS) and San Jose
No. 5 in both human polls (I love that term) but have aState at 3-1 is 3-0 ATS.
pathetic computer average of just 17.Conversely, San Diego State (at both 0-5 SU and
There were 13 unbeaten Division I-A schools enteringATS), is the lone winless team (of eight) to also be
last weekend's action (all but Rutgers were in action)winless ATS. Joining San Diego State as schools still
and Auburn was not the only unbeaten team to lose.seeking their first pointspread wins of the 2006 season
Also losing for the first time in 2006 were Georgia,are Fresno State (1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS), La Tech (1-4
Oregon and Wake Forest. That leaves nine DivisionSU and 0-4 ATS), Marshall (1-4 SU and 0-4 ATS) and
I-A unbeatens and all nine will play this weekend. TheNorth Carolina (1-4 and 0-4 ATS). La Tech, Marshall
teams have a combined 30-14-2 ATS mark (68.2and North Carolina's SU wins this year have come in
percent), so the pointspread has not been too much ofnon-lined games against Division I-AA opponents.
an equalizer.Closing thought
Nine schools were winless entering last weekend'sThere can be little argument that zero is a "defining"
play (only Eastern Michigan didn't play) but only Utahnumber! Heading into this weekend's action, these
State got off the schneid, beating Fresno State 13-12.schools own some defining zeroes! Colorado State
All of the eight remaining winless teams, which own aand Iowa have yet to recover a single fumble in 2006,
combined 12-29-2 ATS mark or 29.3 percent, will playthe only two schools among 119 in Division I-A that can
this weekend. Temple, owners of the nation's longestmake that claim. Just three schools have yet to
active losing streak (18 straight losses), gets thingsintercept a pass in 2006. La-Lafayette has zero
started with a Thursday night game against Clemsoninterceptions while facing 148 attempts, Arkansas has
at Charlotte.yet to intercept a pass in 141 attempts and Fresno
In Temple's case, the pointspread has been anState has yet to come up with a 'pick' in 138 attempts.