The Sagarin College Football Ratings: What They Are, How to Read Them and What to Do With Them

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While betting on sports is only legal in a few places inFollowing the first week of college football action, here
the United States, such as Las Vegas, millions of officeare some facts that interested me about Sagarin's
workers are involved in sports pools every week nowfirst-week ratings:
that the football season has arrived.1) Washington, one of the poor to mediocre teams in
When you know that more than $700 million can bethe country the last several years, was rated No. 31
bet on one game—the Super Bowl—in onlyafter hammering Syracuse 42-14 in its home opener.
Las Vegas, then you understand that billions were bet2) Michigan State, another short end of the stick team
illegally on the Super Bowl last year in the Unitedfor far too long, was rated No. 36 after steamrolling
States and in offshore sports books around the world.over UAB 55-18 in its home opener.
Folks in the gaming business know that more than a3) Appalachian State, a AA school, was rated No. 38
billion dollars is wagered on every Monday Nightfollowing its upset of mighty Michigan 34-32 on
Football game during the season.Michigan's home field. The win was the biggest upset in
For those who wager, it may be helpful to put somecollege football history as no AA team had ever
science on your side when you wager, and one of thebeaten a ranked team.
best places to do that is with the Sagarin CollegeMichigan was ranked No. 5 by both the AP Poll and
Football Ratings.Coaches Poll going into the game. Following its
Created by Jeff Sagarin, a 1970 MIT mathematicshorrendous loss, Michigan ended up being ranked No.
graduate, these computer ratings are for Division I-A40 by Sagarin.
(what the NCAA now calls the Football Bowl (FB)4) Wyoming, a small school and never among the
Subdivision) and Division I-AA (what the NCAA nownation's top teams, was ranked No. 41 by Sagarin
calls the Football Championship (FC) Subdivision)following its 23-3 home victory over Virginia.
teams.5) Notre Dame, beaten badly (33-3) by Georgia Tech,
You will have to forgive the NCAA for taking titles thatwas rated No. 57 after the loss. Georgia Tech was
have been used for years and are perfectly clear,rated No. 2. The Irish failed to score a touchdown for
then renaming them and creating confusion in thethe first time ever in their home opener.
process.6) Temple (ranked No. 143 after its opening loss) and
If there is a way for the NCAA to assert its superiorBuffalo (ranked No. 145 after its opening loss) face off
power, it does so by making everything more difficultin week two. Both teams are among the 7 worst
and confusing, similar to your United StatesDivision I-A teams in the country, joining
government and its IRS tax code which could reduceLouisiana-Monroe, Rice, Duke, Utah State and Florida
a sane person to tears just reading it.International.
Anyway, the Sagarin rating is a numerical measure of7) A total of 242 teams, 119 A schools and 123 AA
a team's strength.schools, make up the Sagarin College Football Ratings.
A hypothetical victory margin is determined byThe worst-rated A school is Florida International at No.
comparing the rating of the two teams after adding174 (56 AA teams are rated better), and their play
2.93 points to the home team. The home edge willreflects their rating. The worst-rated AA school is the
vary during the season.No. 242 La Salle Explorers. La Salle is a Catholic
Only Division I (both A and AA) are counted for ratinguniversity located in Philadelphia.
and schedule strength during the season.La Salle lost its home opener to Ursinus 28-0. Ursinus is
A diminishing-returns principle exists to prevent teamsnot a planet but a real liberal arts college in
from building up ratings by running up large victoryPennsylvania.
margins against weak teams. Instead, it rewardsUrsinus College is not a Division 1 school (which
teams that do well against good opponents.includes the 242 teams with La Salle), not a Division II
The BCS (Bowl Championship Series) does not factorteam (which includes another 157 teams), but a Division
in scoring margin. For Sagarin ratings and more detailedIII team. Now you can better understand why La Salle
information go to:College is ranked last among 242 Division I schools.
USA Today, the largest circulation newspaper in theThe first job for La Salle this year will be to score a
United States, is the nation's daily newspaper andtouchdown, or any points, including a field goal or
carries the Sagarin College Football Ratings. Thetouchback. The Explorers next job will be to actually
ratings are updated following each week's games andwin a game. Good luck, La Salle, and God speed.